Wagner
W-L: ( 5- 8) PR = 84.2566Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 211 H Sacred Heart MAAC (11- 4, 90.9) 10-14 214 A Manhattan MAAC ( 4-10, 85.3) 5-10 217 A Monmouth CAA ( 6- 7, 89.6) 7-15 221 A Massachusetts-Lowell America Eas ( 2-10, 85.1) 7-16 228 A Hampton CAA ( 0-12, 79.3) 14- 6 307 H NJIT America Eas ( 4- 9, 88.2) 14-12 314 A LIU NEC (11- 4, 89.4) 6-20 321 H Detroit Mercy NEC ( 3-10, 85.7) 9- 8 328 H Mercyhurst NEC ( 2-12, 82.0) 7- 6 404 A Cleveland State NEC ( 6- 8, 87.8) 9-10 411 H Le Moyne NEC ( 4-11, 85.2) 8- 7 418 A VMI NEC ( 7- 7, 87.0) 6-13 425 H Robert Morris NEC (14- 3, 91.5) 6-16
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
211 H Sacred Heart 10-14 -4 -5 1.25
214 A Manhattan 5-10 -5 -2 - -2.54
217 A Monmouth 7-15 -8 -7 -0.27
221 A Massachusetts-Lowell 7-16 -9 -2 -- -4.83
228 A Hampton 14- 6 8 4 + 3.42
307 H NJIT 14-12 2 -3 ++ 4.56
314 A LIU 6-20 -14 -7 -0.49
321 H Detroit Mercy 9- 8 1 0 1.07
328 H Mercyhurst 7- 6 1 4 - -2.64
404 A Cleveland State 9-10 -1 -5 + 3.95
411 H Le Moyne 8- 7 1 0 0.54
418 A VMI 6-13 -7 -4 - -2.87
425 H Robert Morris 6-16 -10 -6 -1.15
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 A Massachusetts-Lowell 7-16 -9 -2 -- -4.83 214 A Manhattan 5-10 -5 -2 - -2.54 328 H Mercyhurst 7- 6 1 4 - -2.64 418 A VMI 6-13 -7 -4 - -2.87 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H NJIT 14-12 2 -3 ++ 4.56 228 A Hampton 14- 6 8 4 + 3.42 404 A Cleveland State 9-10 -1 -5 + 3.95 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Sacred Heart (11- 4, 90.9) 10-14 -9.02 11.58 -1.38 1.10 -5.72
3 A Manhattan ( 4-10, 85.3) 5-10 -14.56 6.04 1.38 1.10 -7.26
3 A Monmouth ( 6- 7, 89.6) 7-15 -10.29 10.31 1.38 1.10 -4.90
3 A Massachusetts- ( 2-10, 85.1) 7-16 -14.85 5.75 1.38 1.10 -7.42
3 A Hampton ( 0-12, 79.3) 14- 6 -20.60 1.00 1.38 1.10 5.23
3 H NJIT ( 4- 9, 88.2) 14-12 -11.70 8.89 -1.38 1.10 16.56
3 A LIU (11- 4, 89.4) 6-20 -10.51 10.09 1.38 1.10 -5.03
3 H Detroit Mercy ( 3-10, 85.7) 9- 8 -14.20 6.40 -1.38 1.10 11.06
3 H Mercyhurst ( 2-12, 82.0) 7- 6 -17.91 2.69 -1.38 1.10 2.89
3 A Cleveland Stat ( 6- 8, 87.8) 9-10 -12.07 8.53 1.38 1.10 -5.89
3 H Le Moyne ( 4-11, 85.2) 8- 7 -14.73 5.87 -1.38 1.10 9.89
3 A VMI ( 7- 7, 87.0) 6-13 -12.89 7.71 1.38 1.10 -6.34
3 H Robert Morris (14- 3, 91.5) 6-16 -8.42 12.18 -1.38 1.10 -5.39
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-2.31
|
winning pts = 45.6311 losing points = -47.9427
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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